What does everyone think about the second group in the lawsuit against the State Department regarding the pause for 75 countries from Red Eagle Law? There haven’t been any results for the first group yet? I want to understand the real chances and timelines for this mandamus before making a decision — has anyone already joined or is following the first group?
Detailed analysis of the topic: Mandamus on visas and Congress: what really works
hang in there, mandamus really works - I went through it myself and it all worked out)
A mandamus via Red Eagle to AP (АП) is meant to compel the issuance of a response, not to speed up the clearance itself — those are different things. 100 days with PP is already sufficient grounds, but if the case is a hold affecting 75 countries, a class action makes more sense here than an individual suit.
The first group is quiet — that’s normal; these lawsuits, as far as I remember, take at least six months.
To be blunt — a mandamus is an order to review the case, not a demand to reach a favorable decision. After 60 days the State Department will file an MTD (motion to dismiss), and the court will be stuck for another 6–8 months at minimum — you were sitting in AP (administrative processing), and you’ll keep sitting there, only now with a parallel court track. If the hold specifically covers 75 countries, a mass lawsuit exerts pressure on the authorities at a different scale than an individual one.
I’ve heard they filed after six months and the case never made it to court — they would prepare a pre-suit claim; the State Department has to respond within 60 days, and sometimes approval would come during that time. But sometimes after those 60 days they file an MTD, and then the court gets stuck for another six to eight months minimum. Silence from the first group is normal — it hasn’t even been six months there yet. Hang in there)